OptionWitOption Evaluation Board

Delta

Delta is the first thing most traders learn to watch: it estimates how much an option's price changes when the underlying stock moves $1. A call has a delta between 0 and 1; a put between -1 and 0. A delta of 0.40 means the option gains about $0.40 when the stock rises $1, and loses about the same when it falls $1.

Delta is only exact for a tiny move. As the stock travels, delta itself shifts (that rate of change is gamma), so a delta read today drifts for the larger move you actually care about. That is why the projection board reprices the whole option rather than extrapolating from delta.

Delta also doubles as a rough probability the option finishes in the money, and it tells you how many shares one contract behaves like (a 0.40-delta contract acts like 40 shares).

Worked number. On the default position (a $105 call, stock at $100, 45% IV, 30 days out), the model delta is 0.388. So a $1 rise in the stock lifts the option about $0.39 per share, roughly $39 on a contract.
See it in the calculator → Load this scenario and change any input to watch delta update live.

FAQ

Is delta the probability my option expires in the money?

Roughly. A call's delta approximates the risk-neutral probability it finishes in the money, so a 0.40 delta is loosely a 40% chance. It is an approximation, not an exact probability, because it ignores the full shape of the distribution.

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